Microsoft has added an experiments framework to Performance Max, including an Uplift test that measures incremental gain. For once, advertisers can check whether the black box is creating conversions or just claiming credit.
A platform that lets you measure its own incremental value is rarer than it should be. Use the tool the moment it is handed to you.
Microsoft has added an experiments framework to Performance Max, and it matters more than the usual platform update. For the first time, advertisers running Microsoft's black-box campaign type can test whether it actually adds anything, instead of taking the platform's word for it.
The new framework includes two experiment types. The one to care about is the Uplift experiment, which measures the incremental gain of running Performance Max alongside your other campaigns. In plain terms, it answers the question every advertiser should ask of any automated product. If I turn this on, do I get conversions I would not have got anyway, or is it claiming credit for sales that were coming regardless? Microsoft has also added new Customer Acquisition Goals built around incrementality rather than total conversions, plus more exclusion and targeting controls.
Microsoft says advertisers using PMax see an average 8% lift in incremental conversions, and more when they shift more budget to it.
Why it matters
Performance Max and its cousins have always asked for trust. You pour budget in, the algorithm decides where it goes, and the platform reports back that everything worked. The problem is the platform grades its own homework. Incrementality testing is the antidote. It separates the conversions the campaign caused from the ones it merely sat next to.
For Australian advertisers, Microsoft Ads is often the cheaper, less crowded cousin of Google. If you are spending there, this is your chance to prove the spend is doing real work, not just collecting credit.
The average lift in incremental conversions Microsoft reports for Performance Max advertisers.
What to do about it
Automation is fine. Blind trust in automation is not. The experiment is the difference.