← Back to Debrief
Industry Trends

Retail Media Is About to Surpass Total TV Ad Revenue in Australia. The Power Shift Nobody Planned For.

The retailers who own the checkout also own the data. That changes everything about where ad budgets flow.

Filip Ivanković··2 min read
2 min read

Retail media is no longer an emerging channel. In Australia, it is about to become a bigger advertising market than television.

GroupM's latest global forecast projects retail media networks will surpass traditional TV ad revenue globally by 2028. In Australia, the timeline is accelerating. Coles 360, Woolworths Cartology and Amazon Ads are building closed-loop ecosystems where advertisers can target shoppers at the point of purchase and measure sales attribution directly. IAB Australia reported retail media grew 35% year-on-year in 2025, making it the fastest-growing digital channel in the country.

35%

Year-on-year growth in Australian retail media spend during 2025

The economics are compelling. Retail media margins sit between 70% and 90% for the platform operators, compared to single-digit margins on grocery sales. Woolworths Cartology alone generated over $500 million in revenue in FY2025. For advertisers, the appeal is deterministic purchase data. No modelling, no attribution windows, no probabilistic matching. You served an ad, the person bought the product, and the retailer can prove it.

But the channel is not without friction. Brands report fragmented measurement standards across networks, inconsistent inventory quality and a growing "retail media tax" where shelf placement increasingly depends on ad spend.

Why it matters

Retail media is reshaping the Australian advertising landscape in two ways. First, it is pulling budget from both TV and traditional digital. Brands that previously split spend between broadcast reach and performance digital are finding retail media delivers both awareness (in-store screens, homepage placements) and conversion (sponsored products, checkout ads) in a single buy. Second, it is concentrating power with retailers. Coles and Woolworths now compete with Google and Meta for advertising dollars, and they have something neither tech platform can offer: verified purchase data.

For businesses outside FMCG, this matters because retail media infrastructure is expanding into verticals like pharmacy, liquor, automotive parts and pet supplies.

What to do about it

Audit your channel mix. If you sell through major Australian retailers, retail media should be a line item in your media plan, not an afterthought buried in trade marketing.
Demand measurement standards. Ask your retail media partners for impression-level reporting, incremental sales lift studies and viewability metrics. Do not accept "we drove X sales" without methodology.
Watch the margin squeeze. If your retail media spend is growing faster than your sales through that retailer, you are subsidising their margin, not building yours.
Test before you commit. Start with sponsored product placements where attribution is cleanest before expanding into display and offsite inventory.

Retail media is not a trend. It is a structural shift in where advertising money goes and who controls the measurement. Plan accordingly.

ShareLinkedInX

Debrief

Get the next one

No spam. No fluff. Just the next article, straight to your inbox.

Filip Ivanković
Filip IvankovićFounder, New Rebellion

10+ years leading performance marketing across agencies and in-house teams in Australia. Writes about the gap between marketing activity and commercial outcomes, and what it takes to close it.

Keep reading

All articles →

If this resonated

Let's talk about your marketing

30 minutes with a senior strategist. No pitch deck, no obligation. Just an honest conversation about what you need.